June 23

The Global Baby Bust: Why Fewer People Are Having Kids—and Why That’s Not the End of the World

Three countries. Three continents. One startling trend: birth rates are plummeting. From China and India to the U.S. and South Korea, fewer women are having babies—and it’s reshaping the future.

The Numbers Don’t Lie

To keep a population stable, the average woman needs to have 2.1 children. But the numbers are falling far short:

  • South Korea: 1.1

  • Singapore, Hong Kong: 1.1

  • Spain, Italy: 1.3

  • Canada: 1.5

  • USA, China: 1.7

This isn’t a blip—it’s a global demographic shift.

From Expectation to Choice

For most of history, motherhood was a mandate. Women without children were shamed, divorced, even persecuted. But today, women are choosing differently.

In South Korea, a “no marriage” movement is growing. Fewer weddings, fewer kids. Same in Hong Kong, where high costs and long work hours push women to skip both marriage and motherhood.

In India, rising education levels and later marriages are driving the fertility rate below replacement for the first time. Single women are on the rise. Millennials are charting a different path.

In the U.S., It’s Not About Marriage

American couples aren’t avoiding weddings—they’re avoiding parenthood. The reasons range from financial pressure to climate anxiety. The pandemic made the struggle even clearer. A 2021 Pew survey found 21% of childless adults don’t plan to ever have kids—up from 16% in 2018.

Society Hasn’t Caught Up

Despite the shift, child-free couples still face judgment. Even Pope Francis called not having children “selfish.” Ironically, he’s never had any. But here's the kicker: declining birth rates do bring real challenges—aging populations, shrinking workforces, slower growth. Japan’s already feeling the heat, with 40% of its people expected to be over 65 by 2060.